Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 5.986407 6.833544 7.769349 8.881714 10.170425 11.619422 13.376245
2025-04-06 4.803542 5.888511 7.183498 8.850154 10.948475 13.515906 16.915610
2025-04-13 4.050332 5.229955 6.720102 8.754457 11.480753 15.037914 20.079304
2025-04-20 3.652966 4.923307 6.605262 9.017602 12.425437 17.122143 24.180007
2025-04-27 3.326793 4.650657 6.475490 9.206714 13.246254 19.087817 28.333930
2025-05-04 3.108912 4.491282 6.467245 9.541456 14.283339 21.451391 33.358517
2025-05-11 2.775982 4.123492 6.109987 9.304631 14.413602 22.438825 36.343918
2025-05-18 2.523497 3.845952 5.851979 9.178983 14.682630 23.645990 39.810058
2025-05-25 2.312840 3.609593 5.629393 9.076829 14.963252 24.882060 43.460503
2025-06-01 2.118368 3.379022 5.391068 8.917798 15.119740 25.908376 46.850484
2025-06-08 1.940898 3.159127 5.147970 8.721515 15.181663 26.761393 50.011943
2025-06-15 1.888047 3.140363 5.235165 9.101110 16.302100 29.638178 57.425993
2025-06-22 1.790307 3.038574 5.174631 9.217038 16.962437 31.758128 63.697609
2025-06-29 1.675583 2.897272 5.032187 9.167648 17.302448 33.298907 68.999495
2025-07-06 1.564669 2.753164 4.871487 9.066081 17.525532 34.626020 74.027474
2025-07-13 1.516110 2.717732 4.904985 9.339210 18.524698 37.654301 83.283614
2025-07-20 1.460887 2.664995 4.900768 9.535674 19.384953 40.490059 92.537120
2025-07-27 1.427965 2.651332 4.968940 9.883524 20.602034 44.249466 104.600677
2025-08-03 1.328639 2.501865 4.760403 9.637416 20.498601 45.031963 109.412217
2025-08-10 1.250403 2.387923 4.613199 9.506853 20.637292 46.385779 115.896753
2025-08-17 1.181000 2.286460 4.483122 9.400707 20.819081 47.860841 122.936966
2025-08-24 1.111127 2.179036 4.332581 9.235470 20.844785 48.959179 129.130470
2025-08-31 1.042932 2.070330 4.171293 9.031542 20.756522 49.763220 134.632293